'Distance decay theory'
· a person is more likely to be found closer to where he or she was last seen.
"Island biographic theory"
· States that a place with more resources for survival attracts the fugitive.
· Going by this theory and the average daily walking distance of 6.1 kms,
American georaphers have marked 26 cities within a radius of 12.4 miles from the last known location of Tora Bora. And for Laden to survive, he will walk eastwards heading for the closest, largest and one of the least isolated cities, which is Parachinar.
Researchers also short listed Laden's housing need criteria which includes.
· His height: Laden is 6'4" tall
· His medical condition: He needs regular dialysis. So would need electricity to run the machine
· His Security: Laden will need a fortified building in an isolated place with an overhead cover to shield him
They found that not more than three buildings met all the criteria, in the whole of Parachinar that could house world's most wanted man.
And now with the Taliban all set to takeover the tribal region including Parachinar, the search for Osama Bin Laden may just get tougher.
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